Seasonal
Outlook.
A confidential
experimental forecast for the next season (up to fifteen
months ahead) is issued in September / October. The forecast is
based on the selection of a previous year to be used as a guide,
or analogue, for the coming season. The actual year is selected
from Lamond Weather's assessment of global and southern
hemisphere weather circulations and atmospheric and ocean anomolies
and especially from the current and projected behaviour of ENSO
(El Nino - Southern Oscillation) events. The subscriber also receives
an updated assessment at approximately monthly intervals on the
latest seasonal trends. This update includes a more detailed outlook
for the following 4 - 6 weeks in which the likely timing of significant
rainfall events is advised.
The
4 - 6 week outlook is based on the monitoring and extrapolations
of the pattern of long atmospheric waves that move around the
southern hemisphere and the timing of significant outflows of
moisture from the tropics which in turn is based on the analysis
and extrapolation of of the 40 - 50 day Madden - Julian wave in
the equatorial regions.
Lamond
Weather maintains private contact with national and overseas
meteorological authorities which make routine assessments of changes
in global weather developments (for example the Southern Oscillation
and the El Nino events) and the periodic shifts in the blocking
patterns which affect the motion of long atmospheric wave patterns
around the hemisphere.
A subscription
covering twelve months can be entered at any time of the year.
Full
Comprehensive Service
A full
annual subscription to the Lamond Weather comprehensive
service includes access to the above listed services.
The
hours of telephone service are extended by arrangement to maintain
the best possible watching brief on the incidence of severe weather.
A calendar of weather-sensitive farm activites in maintained in
collaboration with each client.
Confidential
advice is always available on developments several weeks ahead,
in addition to the seasonal outlook and updates.
Lamond
Weather forecasters are available each day of the week to
clients, for telephone advice and discussion on weather conditions
likely to affect farming operations such as seeding, spraying,
harvesting, haymaking, fertilizing, grain carting, burning off,
and many aspects of animal husbandry such as shearing, mulesing,
dipping etc.
Forecasts
of all elements - probability of occurance and intensity of rainfall,
wind strength, relative humidity, sunshine, heatwaves, cold outbreaks,
fire danger etc - are provided on a time scale ranging from a
few hours to several days ahead.
By
arrangement a watch can be maintained on particular weather events
which may affect a farming operation, and the client advised of
any sudden developments not previously forecast. A personalised
service is thus available between the client and Lamond Weather
throughout the year.
Our
services are not intended as a substitute for the generalised
district forecasts issued by weather bureaus, but should be more
specific and accurate in respect of individual locations and the
particular needs of farmers. We are connected to the regular national
weather service data networks but are not tied to the routine
issue of forecasts and are able to be more timely with our advice;
for example, we track the movement of frosts and cloud bands as
they are photographed directly by weather satellites at 1 - 3
hour intervals.
Correspondance
and liasion are encouraged.
This
service also now includes regular fax advice of significant or
weekly weather.
Lamond
Weather prefers to enlist subscribers for the full service
to develop a well-integrated liasion with clients, and therefore
offers a substantial discount for this subscription.
Annual
Subscription: $700 + G.S.T = $770.
Disclaimer
Lamond
Weather employs professional meteorologists who exercise all
care in the preparation of forecasts and advices but will not
be held liable for damages or losses incurred from decisions and
actions taken on the basis of forecasts and advices offered.
In
engaging Lamond Weather Services the client agrees to the
conditions stated above.
Money
Back Guarantee
If
you choose the 12 months Comprehensive Service and after 12 months
believe the benefit to be not cost-effective, and given that you
are still farming, and you subsequently decline to renew your
subscription for that reason, Lamond Weather will, at that
time, refund the fee less an administrative charge ($30.00) and
less the STD component of calls made on the toll free telephone.
